Democrats had an opportunity following the 2016 election to do some soul searching and positively change the trajectory of the party. The voters sent them a message. The American people said loud and clear that they trusted Donald Trump more than Hillary Clinton and they trusted their own eyes and ears more than they trust the media. Democrats lost areas that they usually win and the reliable blue voters in the Rust Belt clearly weren’t happy with the leadership of Pelosi, Schumer, and Obama. They wanted something different.
However, Pelosi and Schumer didn’t listen to that message. They kept their positions of leadership in the House and have constantly been attacking Trump with the same lazy and irresponsible attacks that Hillary Clinton used.
There is some debate as to whether or not Democrats are going to take back the House in 2018. There are convincing arguments on both sides and there is certainly a historical precedent for Democrats winning. However, it’s hard to take them seriously and Republicans are raising a lot more money.
However, if Democrats do win, it is now being reported that Pelosi would be the speaker.
Axios.com’s Mike Allen reports that House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) is now considered a lock for Speaker of the House in 2019, as her party is expected to sweep the 2018 midterm elections.
If so, it would be one of the most remarkable comebacks in political history, after Pelosi led her party to an historic defeat in 2010 after serving as the first female Speaker for four years, then clung to power over a shrinking minority party for eight.
Allen notes: “It would take a flip of 24 seats for Dems to take over. The average loss for the president’s party in his first midterm is about 32 seats, and we’re hearing forecasts of 40+ losses.” He acknowledges, too, that the existing district map, and the past demographic patterns of voter turnout in midterm elections, favor the Republicans. But there are many signs of Democratic momentum, and many prominent Republicans have already retired their seats.
Hill sources tell us that a House Democratic takeover is now likely.One strategist close to Republican leaders believes that a loss of the House is “baked in,” and said top Republicans don’t see a way to avoid it.
Democrats winning would have nothing to do with Pelosi but more to do with the liberal media’s constant attacks on Trump regardless of the facts.
However, this should worry conservatives. Conventional wisdom in Washington is wrong all the time and plenty of things can happen between now and then.
Too early to panic.
Also, if Democrats actually let her be speaker it is likely that Republicans will be in a good position heading into 2020.
[Note: This post was written by Andrew Mark Miller]