An internal FBI report released in April confirmed what many saw as a potential consequence of a rise in anti-police behavior known as the “Ferguson Effect.”
Named after the protests that broke out in the aftermath of Michael Brown’s death in which residents and out-of-state protesters destroyed the city of Ferguson to stick it to “the man” (random aside: it’s still unclear who “the man” is), the “Ferguson Effect” describes a consequence of anti-police behavior in which law enforcement is overly cautious in performing their job, eventually leading to an increase in crime due to lax enforcement.
Given that cops preventing crimes is a heck of a lot more common than police shootings, it’s a reasonable thesis.
The April report showed 64 law enforcement officers were killed in 53 incidents in 2016. The year before, 42 were killed. In 2016, 28 percent of the assailants “expressed a desire to kill law enforcement officers prior to carrying out their attacks,” the report said.
“Specifically in the Dallas, TX, and Baton Rouge, L.A., attacks,” the report added, “the assailants said they were influenced by the Black Lives Matter movement, and their belief that law enforcement was targeting black males.”
Of course, if there’s anyone targeting black males, it certainly isn’t police. While it is true that most whites are also killed by other white people (just as most blacks are killed by other blacks), the rate at which blacks are killed by other blacks on a per-capita basis is over five times higher:
And what has chanting “f*** the police” done to fix this? Absolutely nothing. Nor have our nation’s multi-millionaire athletes taking the knee done much.
As the Washington Examiner is reporting, lost in the uproar over the NFL sideline protests against police brutality are newly released statistics showing that the threat to black men is skyrocketing — not from trigger-happy or racist cops, but from crime.
More than any other demographic group, black men are paying the price with their lives with a surging violent crime rate over the past two years, including a 20 percent jump in the overall homicide rate, even as the number of blacks killed by police declines.
Using homicide figures from the 2016 FBI Uniform Crime Report released Sept. 25, Manhattan Institute fellow Heather Mac Donald found that the number of black homicide victims has jumped by nearly 900 per year since the Black Lives Matter movement took root in 2014.
Meanwhile, the number of blacks killed by police dipped from 259 in 2015 to 233 in 2016, with 2017 so far coming in below both years with 175 deaths as of Oct. 12, according to The Washington Post’s Fatal Force database.
The overwhelming majority of those killed were armed, and many of those killed while unarmed were posing a threat while killed (such as trying to reach for a cop’s weapon).
Peter Moskos, associate professor at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice in New York City, tracked the same phenomenon in Baltimore after the April 2015 rioting over the death of a black man in police custody. He calls it “the Freddie Gray effect.”
He found a spike in homicides and shootings after the riots, which were followed by Baltimore State’s Attorney Marilyn Mosby’s decision to charge six officers in Gray’s death. Three of the officers were acquitted in non-jury trials, and charges against the other three were dismissed.
“Police were instructed — both by city leaders and then in the odd DOJ report city leaders asked for — to be less proactive since such policing will disproportionately affect minorities,” Mr. Moskos said in a Sept. 4 post. “Few seem to care that minorities are disproportionately affected by the rise in murder.”
Perhaps the “Black Lives Matter Effect” would be a better name for the phenomenon – though that’s a bit ironic given the lives lost due to it.