While Donald Trump has been rapidly checking off his list of campaign promises, the media’s hair has been on fire with his claims about crowd size at his inauguration and his promise to investigate voter fraud — both of which are minor compared to the moves he’s made on border control, clamping down on refugees from hostile countries, and enforcing immigration laws.
You’d think liberals would be delighted President Trump is trying to investigate voter fraud they’re so certain is non-existent. After all, they’d be first in line to prove him wrong, right?
A new study makes the blockbuster claim that Hillary Clinton may have received hundreds of thousands of votes from non-citizens.
Per the Washington Times, Political scientist Jesse Richman of Old Dominion University in Norfolk, Virginia, has worked with colleagues to produce groundbreaking research on noncitizen voting, and this week he posted a blog in response to Mr. Trump’s assertion.
Based on national polling by a consortium of universities, a report by Mr. Richman said 6.4 percent of the estimated 20 million adult noncitizens in the U.S. voted in November. He extrapolated that that percentage would have added 834,381 net votes for Mrs. Clinton, who received about 2.8 million more votes than Mr. Trump.
Mr. Richman calculated that Mrs. Clinton would have collected 81 percent of noncitizen votes.
“Is it plausible that non-citizen votes added to Clinton’s margin? Yes,” Mr. Richman wrote. “Is it plausible that non-citizen votes account for the entire nation-wide popular vote margin held by Clinton? Not at all.”
Now, the point is moot anyway because Donald Trump won the electoral college, but it still raises disturbing questions about voting integrity in the nation.
“Most voters are never asked for voter ID, so it is dishonest to suggest that with the tens of millions of illegal and legal aliens here, there is no voter fraud,” said Tom Fitton, who heads the conservative watchdog group Judicial Watch. “If the key Old Dominion study results on the 2008 election are applied to 2016 — 1.41 million aliens may have voted illegally, with 1.13 million voting for Democrats.”
“A federal voter fraud investigation is long overdue,” Mr. Fitton said. “It would be a simple matter of analyzing voter registration databases against federal databases of aliens and deceased individuals. Why is the left afraid to even ask the questions? The jig is up.”
There does not appear to be any concerted postelection effort by states to take on the daunting task of checking voter rolls and ballots to verify citizenship. In some states, no ID is required to register and vote.
In the absence of detailed accounting, the only scientific way to make an estimate is by post-vote polling.
Mr. Richman relies on a one-of-a-kind poll: the Cooperative Congressional Election Survey. Every two years, a consortium of 28 universities produces a detailed report on voters and their views based on polling by YouGov.
Tucked inside the lengthy questionnaire is a question on citizenship status: A significant number of respondents anonymously acknowledged they were not citizens when they voted.
Three professors at Old Dominion University — Mr. Richman, Gulshan A. Chattha and David C. Earnest — took these answers, did further research and extrapolated that of a 19.4 million estimate of adult non-citizens, about 620,000 were illegally registered to vote in the 2008 presidential election. Using other measuring tools, they said, the actual number of noncitizen voters could be as low as 38,000 and as high as 2.8 million.
And that’s perhaps where President Trump gets his much-maligned figure of three million.
Granted, a self-selected survey on YouGov has its own issues with sample demographics, but it still does raise alarms.
Yes, “our side” won this time, even with a possibly large number of fraudulent votes. But will we be so lucky next time if tighter controls aren’t instituted?
[Note: This article was written by Michele Hickford]