Hillary Clinton’s post-DNC lead has tanked in the weeks following her collapse at the 9/11 memorial on the fifteenth anniversary of the tragedy. The Real Clear Politics average (which averages together the results of dozens of national polls) currently shows Hillary with a mere 2.1 point lead against Donald Trump.
If we look at RCP’s prediction for what the electoral map will look like in November based on the current polls, Trump is only one state away from victory.
Note: Chart taken from the Gateway Pundit. Data as of September 22nd.
Hillary’s odds of winning the election, as calculated by the statistics blog FiveThirtyEight have declined from 70.6 percent on September 11th, to 56.8 percent on September 20th. FTE’s model shows a slightly wider gap in the electoral college between the candidates.
Folks always say we may be in store for an October surprise, but with polls trending the way they are now, we may be in for a September surprise.
[Note: This post was authored by Matt Palumbo. Follow him on Twitter @MattPalumbo12]