In the first Republican debate, Megyn Kelly lead with a — now infamous — question to Trump on his comments towards women. Regardless of whether or not Kelly was targeting Trump with the question, Trump’s image to half the country should concern him, because it’s a demographic he’s going to need to improve drastically if he’s to win the election.
According to Reuters (via Ace of Spades):
Half of U.S. women say they have a “very unfavorable” view of the front-runner for the Republican presidential nomination, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling, up from the 40 percent who felt that way in October. The survey was taken from March 1-15, and included 5,400 respondents.
Trump does not have a similar image problem with men. The Reuters/Ipsos polling results showed that just 36 percent of men said they have a “very unfavorable” opinion of Trump, a level that has held steady in recent months….
If the GOP frontrunner were to run against Democratic hopeful Hillary Clinton in the general election, likely women voters would support Clinton over Trump by nearly 14 percentage points, according to the March polling data. Among men, Clinton would win by about 5 percentage points.
Women have historically had higher voter turnout rates than men, which makes this poll troubling for Trump. The Republican primary has seen a sharp increase in turnout relative to last election’s, while the Democrats have fallen, but this is no predictorof turnout in the general election.
[Note: This post was authored by The Analytical Economist]